Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRB prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 63.833515 74.732332 86.611603 100.479975 116.182962 133.367761 153.551923
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 48.005223 62.685907 80.149611 102.275657 129.365070 161.243934 201.371115
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 36.798191 52.500212 72.528498 99.568794 134.692113 178.303831 236.017673
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 30.264017 46.550737 68.575314 99.901714 142.573164 197.848166 273.894618
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 25.788757 42.420381 66.100522 101.335972 151.313513 218.391064 313.690064
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 20.018240 35.356478 58.406218 94.334535 147.427791 221.260282 329.540907
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 17.710720 33.161814 57.420713 96.663242 156.556995 242.176266 370.850006
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 15.096731 30.015265 54.504733 95.621788 160.414933 255.574979 402.020786
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 14.302252 29.825054 56.215956 101.826005 175.487992 285.923634 458.953122
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 11.657736 25.887882 51.214006 96.646165 172.355767 288.850131 475.520503
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 10.591559 24.727129 50.808446 98.971645 181.190029 310.231109 520.552405
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 10.773782 26.040604 54.916654 109.305053 203.675688 353.774154 601.211719
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 10.054825 25.598346 56.100812 115.247154 220.342944 390.756673 676.324731
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 8.756289 23.732436 54.441226 116.062111 228.633023 415.286039 734.008836
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 7.257436 21.095601 50.880957 112.919415 229.686027 427.957435 773.331535
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 6.315028 19.547994 49.283903 113.275362 236.871128 451.068662 830.574656
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 5.605626 18.417112 48.389957 114.868708 246.342581 478.459226 896.065890
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.350973 15.532934 43.184615 107.079170 237.516346 473.552627 906.894334
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.938473 14.881111 42.971156 109.670933 248.707679 504.387421 979.994132
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 3.371778 13.625719 41.124703 108.511951 252.385345 521.852427 1030.612387
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 3.274094 13.808207 42.845945 115.413354 272.653378 570.485717 1137.928603
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.617380 11.979997 39.167323 109.651929 266.627084 570.188127 1158.262732
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 2.387291 11.548222 39.089208 112.239114 278.093513 603.165337 1239.712954